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Commit 34b85f25 authored by Boulangeat Isabelle's avatar Boulangeat Isabelle
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rebuild main analysis output document

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Main_analyse.Rmd
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......@@ -3,9 +3,9 @@ title: "Main_analyse.Rmd"
author: "Isabelle Boulangeat"
date: "23/01/2020"
output:
md_document:
variant: markdown_github
html_document:
keep_md: yes
variant: markdown_github
editor_options:
chunk_output_type: console
always_allow_html: true
......@@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ res.tab.eval = as.data.frame(do.call(rbind, lapply(eval.models, function(x)unlis
res.tab.vars = as.data.frame(do.call(rbind, lapply(eval.models, function(x)unlist(x[5:6]))))
kable(res.tab.eval, caption = "model evaluation", digits = 2) %>% kable_styling(bootstrap_options = c("striped", "hover", "responsive"), full_width=FALSE)
kable(res.tab.vars, caption = "selected variables")%>% kable_styling(bootstrap_options = c("striped", "hover", "responsive"), font_size = 10)
# kable(res.tab.vars, caption = "selected variables")%>% kable_styling(bootstrap_options = c("striped", "hover", "responsive"), font_size = 10)
```
N.B. Some models do not fit well. The variables explain more or less depending on species but also on processes (extinction and colonisation).
......@@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ data.frame(unclass(table(coeffs.all$var, coeffs.all$process))) %>%
kable_styling("striped")
```
## Variables effect coefficients
## Variable effect coefficients
This gives a summary of selected variables with significant impact on colonisation or extinction and their estimated coefficients.
......@@ -153,18 +153,15 @@ coeffs.all[which(coeffs.all$process == "extinction" & coeffs.all$Pr...z..<0.1),]
## Lambda (1-ext/colo)
An overview of the performance of populations by site of by species
```{r lambda, fig-TRUE, fig.width=10}
```{r lambda, fig-TRUE, fig.width=10, warning=FALSE, fig.height=7}
all.sites = unique(DATA$cover[,c("SemiUniquePLOT", "YEAR", "SUBSITE", "SoilMoist", "TotalCover")])
pDATA = proj.dat.shape(all.sites, DATA$climato)
str(pDATA)
summary(pDATA)
selectVars = c("snowDays", "GSL", "GST", "SoilMoist", "TotalCover")
pDATA.all = na.omit(pDATA[,c(selectVars,"SemiUniquePLOT", "YEAR", "SUBSITE") ])
pred.all = lapply(spDATA.fit, predictions, pred.data = pDATA.all, selectVars=selectVars)
pred.tab = lapply(pred.all, function(x)data.frame(sp = x$sp, lambda = x$lambda, YEAR = x$YEAR, SUBSITE = x$SUBSITE))
pred.all.together = do.call(rbind, pred.tab)
head(pred.all.together)
pred.all.together[-which(pred.all.together$sp == "Rubus chamaemorus"), ] %>%
ggplot(aes(YEAR, lambda)) +
......@@ -180,7 +177,7 @@ pred.all.together[-which(pred.all.together$sp == "Rubus chamaemorus"), ] %>%
ggplot(aes(SITE, lambda, sp)) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle=90, hjust=1)) +
geom_boxplot() + geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
facet_wrap( ~ sp,scales = "free_x", ncol = 4)
facet_wrap( ~ sp,scales = "free_x", ncol = 7)
pred.all.together[-which(pred.all.together$sp == "Rubus chamaemorus"), ] %>%
ggplot(aes(SITE, lambda, sp)) +
......@@ -190,7 +187,7 @@ pred.all.together[-which(pred.all.together$sp == "Rubus chamaemorus"), ] %>%
```
Simplified version focusing only on the sign of lambda
```{r lambda_sign, fig=TRUE, fig.width=10}
```{r lambda_sign, fig=TRUE, fig.width=10, warning=FALSE}
pred.all.together$lambdaSign = ifelse(pred.all.together$lambda>0, "+", "-")
pred.all.together[-which(pred.all.together$sp == "Rubus chamaemorus"), ] %>%
......
Main_analyse.html
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README.md
View file @ 34b85f25
Load data
---------
- Load climate
- Load species cover data
- Filter out treatment plots
- filter out un-repeated plots
- filter out years &gt; 2014 because of missing in climatologies
``` r
---
title: "Main_analyse.Rmd"
author: "Isabelle Boulangeat"
date: "23/01/2020"
output:
html_document:
keep_md: yes
variant: markdown_github
editor_options:
chunk_output_type: console
always_allow_html: true
---
## Load data
- Load climate
- Load species cover data
- Filter out treatment plots
- filter out un-repeated plots
- filter out years > 2014 because of missing in climatologies
```r
DATA = load.datasets()
str(DATA$cover)
```
## 'data.frame': 32793 obs. of 43 variables:
## $ SUBSITE : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" ...
## $ SemiUniquePLOT : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" ...
## $ YEAR : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ Name : chr "Cassiope tetragona" "Papaver radicatum" "Oxyria digyna" "Luzula confusa" ...
## $ SITE : chr "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" ...
## $ TRTMT : chr "CTL" "CTL" "CTL" "CTL" ...
## $ PLOT : chr "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" ...
## $ GFNARROWwalker : chr "SEVER" "FORB" "FORB" "RUSH" ...
## $ GFNARROWarft : chr "ESHRUB" "FORBSV" "FORBSV" "GRAMINOID" ...
## $ COVER : num 22 0 1 0 6 3 7 5 0 8 ...
## $ UniquePLOT : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" ...
## $ NumSurveysPerSubsite: int 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
## $ NumSurveysPerPlot : int 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
## $ MinYearSubsite : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ MaxYearSubsite : num 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 ...
## $ DurationSubsite : num 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ...
## $ MinYearPlot : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ MaxYearPlot : num 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 ...
## $ DurationPlot : num 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ...
## $ SiteOnly : chr "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" ...
## $ SubsiteOnly : chr "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" ...
## $ MultipleSubsites : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ RepeatedSubsites : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ RepeatedPlots : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ MixedPlots : num 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ Morphosp : num 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 ...
## $ Genus : chr "Cassiope" "Papaver" "Oxyria" "Luzula" ...
## $ Family : chr "Ericaceae" "Papaveraceae" "Polygonaceae" "Juncaceae" ...
## $ SppInPlot : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ TotalCover : num 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 46 ...
## $ RelCover : num 0.5 0 0.0227 0 0.1364 ...
## $ Latitude : num 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 ...
## $ Longitude : num -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 ...
## $ MaxTemp : num 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 ...
## $ MAT : num -164 -164 -164 -164 -164 ...
## $ MinTemp : num -367 -367 -367 -367 -367 ...
## $ WarmQuarterTemp : num 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 ...
## $ ColdQuarterTemp : num -321 -321 -321 -321 -321 ...
## $ WClimGrid : num 57684506 57684506 57684506 57684506 57684506 ...
## $ CRUGrid : num 16049 16049 16049 16049 16049 ...
## $ WClimGroup : num 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ...
## $ SoilMoist : chr "MOIST" "MOIST" "MOIST" "MOIST" ...
## $ WClimGroupSM : num 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
```
## 'data.frame': 32793 obs. of 43 variables:
## $ SUBSITE : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE" ...
## $ SemiUniquePLOT : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL" ...
## $ YEAR : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ Name : chr "Cassiope tetragona" "Papaver radicatum" "Oxyria digyna" "Luzula confusa" ...
## $ SITE : chr "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" ...
## $ TRTMT : chr "CTL" "CTL" "CTL" "CTL" ...
## $ PLOT : chr "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" "Cas.c.c.10new" ...
## $ GFNARROWwalker : chr "SEVER" "FORB" "FORB" "RUSH" ...
## $ GFNARROWarft : chr "ESHRUB" "FORBSV" "FORBSV" "GRAMINOID" ...
## $ COVER : num 22 0 1 0 6 3 7 5 0 8 ...
## $ UniquePLOT : chr "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" "ALEXFIORD:CASSIOPE_Cas.c.c.10new_CTL_1995" ...
## $ NumSurveysPerSubsite: int 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
## $ NumSurveysPerPlot : int 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
## $ MinYearSubsite : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ MaxYearSubsite : num 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 ...
## $ DurationSubsite : num 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ...
## $ MinYearPlot : num 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 ...
## $ MaxYearPlot : num 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 ...
## $ DurationPlot : num 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 ...
## $ SiteOnly : chr "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" "ALEXFIORD" ...
## $ SubsiteOnly : chr "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" "CASSIOPE" ...
## $ MultipleSubsites : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ RepeatedSubsites : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ RepeatedPlots : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ MixedPlots : num 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ Morphosp : num 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 ...
## $ Genus : chr "Cassiope" "Papaver" "Oxyria" "Luzula" ...
## $ Family : chr "Ericaceae" "Papaveraceae" "Polygonaceae" "Juncaceae" ...
## $ SppInPlot : num 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## $ TotalCover : num 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 44 46 ...
## $ RelCover : num 0.5 0 0.0227 0 0.1364 ...
## $ Latitude : num 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 ...
## $ Longitude : num -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 ...
## $ MaxTemp : num 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 ...
## $ MAT : num -164 -164 -164 -164 -164 ...
## $ MinTemp : num -367 -367 -367 -367 -367 ...
## $ WarmQuarterTemp : num 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 ...
## $ ColdQuarterTemp : num -321 -321 -321 -321 -321 ...
## $ WClimGrid : num 57684506 57684506 57684506 57684506 57684506 ...
## $ CRUGrid : num 16049 16049 16049 16049 16049 ...
## $ WClimGroup : num 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ...
## $ SoilMoist : chr "MOIST" "MOIST" "MOIST" "MOIST" ...
## $ WClimGroupSM : num 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ...
```
``` r
```r
str(DATA$climato)
```
## 'data.frame': 257 obs. of 172 variables:
## $ SITE : Factor w/ 62 levels "ABISKO","AKUREYRI",..: 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 38 ...
## $ SUBSITE : Factor w/ 254 levels "A","ABISKODRY",..: 1 37 46 64 67 68 82 122 123 215 ...
## $ COMMTYPE : Factor w/ 5 levels "","DRY","MIXED",..: 5 5 5 5 2 2 5 2 2 4 ...
## $ LAT : num 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 ...
## $ LONG : num -75.7 -75.7 -75.7 -75.7 -75.9 ...
## $ Checked_Coords : Factor w/ 2 levels "","x": 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 ...
## $ HasCover : int 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 ...
## $ ELEV : int 30 30 30 30 540 540 30 540 540 580 ...
## $ AZONE : Factor w/ 4 levels "ALPINE","ANT",..: 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 ...
## $ PI : Factor w/ 42 levels "","Blok","COOPER",..: 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 22 22 24 ...
## $ DomGrazer : Factor w/ 10 levels "","LARGE","Small",..: 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 7 ...
## $ GrazerIntensity : Factor w/ 5 levels "","LOW","high",..: 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 ...
## $ CAVM : Factor w/ 22 levels "","B1","B3","B4",..: 21 21 21 21 4 3 21 4 3 8 ...
## $ CAVMBROAD : Factor w/ 7 levels "","B","G","P",..: 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 2 2 3 ...
## $ PlotSize_m2 : Factor w/ 16 levels "","0.04","0.0531",..: 1 1 1 1 12 12 1 16 16 6 ...
## $ SurveyMethod : Factor w/ 13 levels "","BraunBlanquet",..: 4 4 4 4 8 8 4 3 3 2 ...
## $ HitsPerPlot : Factor w/ 10 levels "","100","137",..: 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 NA NA NA ...
## $ Comments : Factor w/ 20 levels "","\"0.25 m2 plots in 1992; 0.49 m2 in 2009\"",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1979 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1980 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 298 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1981 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1982 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1983 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1984 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 321 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1985 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 271 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1986 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1987 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 311 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1988 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 312 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1989 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1990 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 340 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1991 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 334 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1992 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1993 : int 365 365 365 365 355 355 365 355 355 355 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1994 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 351 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1995 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1996 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 292 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1997 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 317 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1998 : int 365 365 365 365 346 346 365 346 346 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1999 : int 365 365 365 365 354 354 365 354 354 308 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2000 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 311 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2001 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 307 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2002 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 306 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2003 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 303 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2004 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 299 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2005 : int 365 365 365 365 316 316 365 316 316 328 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2006 : int 365 365 365 365 340 340 365 340 340 318 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2007 : int 338 338 338 338 324 324 338 324 324 354 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2008 : int 334 334 334 334 297 297 334 297 297 302 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2009 : int 303 303 303 303 298 298 303 298 298 342 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2010 : int 365 365 365 365 344 344 365 344 344 283 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2011 : int 313 313 313 313 306 306 313 306 306 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2012 : int 312 312 312 312 295 295 312 295 295 337 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2013 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ GSL_1979 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1980 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 ...
## $ GSL_1981 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 ...
## $ GSL_1982 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1983 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1984 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 ...
## $ GSL_1985 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 ...
## $ GSL_1986 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1987 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 ...
## $ GSL_1988 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 ...
## $ GSL_1989 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 ...
## $ GSL_1990 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 ...
## $ GSL_1991 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 ...
## $ GSL_1992 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1993 : int 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 5 5 13 ...
## $ GSL_1994 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1995 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 ...
## $ GSL_1996 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 ...
## $ GSL_1997 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 ...
## $ GSL_1998 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 ...
## $ GSL_1999 : int 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 57 ...
## $ GSL_2000 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 ...
## $ GSL_2001 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 68 ...
## $ GSL_2002 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 ...
## $ GSL_2003 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 ...
## $ GSL_2004 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 ...
## $ GSL_2005 : int 0 0 0 0 17 17 0 17 17 35 ...
## $ GSL_2006 : int 0 0 0 0 17 17 0 17 17 58 ...
## $ GSL_2007 : int 3 3 3 3 23 23 3 23 23 68 ...
## $ GSL_2008 : int 26 26 26 26 43 43 26 43 43 60 ...
## $ GSL_2009 : int 32 32 32 32 41 41 32 41 41 24 ...
## $ GSL_2010 : int 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 85 ...
## $ GSL_2011 : int 17 17 17 17 34 34 17 34 34 0 ...
## $ GSL_2012 : int 19 19 19 19 44 44 19 44 44 0 ...
## $ GSL_2013 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 ...
## $ GST_1979 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1980 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1981 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1982 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1983 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1984 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1985 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1986 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1987 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1988 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1989 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## [list output truncated]
```
## 'data.frame': 257 obs. of 172 variables:
## $ SITE : Factor w/ 62 levels "ABISKO","AKUREYRI",..: 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 38 ...
## $ SUBSITE : Factor w/ 254 levels "A","ABISKODRY",..: 1 37 46 64 67 68 82 122 123 215 ...
## $ COMMTYPE : Factor w/ 5 levels "","DRY","MIXED",..: 5 5 5 5 2 2 5 2 2 4 ...
## $ LAT : num 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 78.9 ...
## $ LONG : num -75.7 -75.7 -75.7 -75.7 -75.9 ...
## $ Checked_Coords : Factor w/ 2 levels "","x": 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 ...
## $ HasCover : int 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 ...
## $ ELEV : int 30 30 30 30 540 540 30 540 540 580 ...
## $ AZONE : Factor w/ 4 levels "ALPINE","ANT",..: 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 ...
## $ PI : Factor w/ 42 levels "","Blok","COOPER",..: 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 22 22 24 ...
## $ DomGrazer : Factor w/ 10 levels "","LARGE","Small",..: 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 7 ...
## $ GrazerIntensity : Factor w/ 5 levels "","LOW","high",..: 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 ...
## $ CAVM : Factor w/ 22 levels "","B1","B3","B4",..: 21 21 21 21 4 3 21 4 3 8 ...
## $ CAVMBROAD : Factor w/ 7 levels "","B","G","P",..: 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 2 2 3 ...
## $ PlotSize_m2 : Factor w/ 16 levels "","0.04","0.0531",..: 1 1 1 1 12 12 1 16 16 6 ...
## $ SurveyMethod : Factor w/ 13 levels "","BraunBlanquet",..: 4 4 4 4 8 8 4 3 3 2 ...
## $ HitsPerPlot : Factor w/ 10 levels "","100","137",..: 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 NA NA NA ...
## $ Comments : Factor w/ 20 levels "","\"0.25 m2 plots in 1992; 0.49 m2 in 2009\"",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1979 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1980 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 298 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1981 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1982 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1983 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1984 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 321 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1985 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 271 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1986 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1987 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 311 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1988 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 312 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1989 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1990 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 340 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1991 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 334 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1992 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1993 : int 365 365 365 365 355 355 365 355 355 355 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1994 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 351 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1995 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1996 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 292 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1997 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 317 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1998 : int 365 365 365 365 346 346 365 346 346 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_1999 : int 365 365 365 365 354 354 365 354 354 308 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2000 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 311 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2001 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 307 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2002 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 306 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2003 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 303 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2004 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 299 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2005 : int 365 365 365 365 316 316 365 316 316 328 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2006 : int 365 365 365 365 340 340 365 340 340 318 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2007 : int 338 338 338 338 324 324 338 324 324 354 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2008 : int 334 334 334 334 297 297 334 297 297 302 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2009 : int 303 303 303 303 298 298 303 298 298 342 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2010 : int 365 365 365 365 344 344 365 344 344 283 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2011 : int 313 313 313 313 306 306 313 306 306 365 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2012 : int 312 312 312 312 295 295 312 295 295 337 ...
## $ CHELSA_snow_days_2013 : int 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 365 ...
## $ GSL_1979 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1980 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 ...
## $ GSL_1981 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 ...
## $ GSL_1982 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1983 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1984 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 ...
## $ GSL_1985 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 ...
## $ GSL_1986 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1987 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 ...
## $ GSL_1988 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 ...
## $ GSL_1989 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 ...
## $ GSL_1990 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 ...
## $ GSL_1991 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 ...
## $ GSL_1992 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1993 : int 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 5 5 13 ...
## $ GSL_1994 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
## $ GSL_1995 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 ...
## $ GSL_1996 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 ...
## $ GSL_1997 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 ...
## $ GSL_1998 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 ...
## $ GSL_1999 : int 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 57 ...
## $ GSL_2000 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 ...
## $ GSL_2001 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 68 ...
## $ GSL_2002 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 ...
## $ GSL_2003 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 ...
## $ GSL_2004 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 ...
## $ GSL_2005 : int 0 0 0 0 17 17 0 17 17 35 ...
## $ GSL_2006 : int 0 0 0 0 17 17 0 17 17 58 ...
## $ GSL_2007 : int 3 3 3 3 23 23 3 23 23 68 ...
## $ GSL_2008 : int 26 26 26 26 43 43 26 43 43 60 ...
## $ GSL_2009 : int 32 32 32 32 41 41 32 41 41 24 ...
## $ GSL_2010 : int 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10 10 85 ...
## $ GSL_2011 : int 17 17 17 17 34 34 17 34 34 0 ...
## $ GSL_2012 : int 19 19 19 19 44 44 19 44 44 0 ...
## $ GSL_2013 : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 ...
## $ GST_1979 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1980 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1981 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1982 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1983 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1984 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1985 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1986 : num NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1987 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1988 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## $ GST_1989 : num NA NA NA NA NA ...
## [list output truncated]
```
``` r
```r
mostRecordedSP = DATA$cover %>% group_by(Name) %>% summarise(nobs = length(Name)) %>% arrange(desc(nobs))
selection = as.vector(t(mostRecordedSP[1:30, "Name"]))
selection = selection[-which(selection %in% c("Arctagrostis latifolia", "Persicaria vivipara", "Carex aquatilis", "Cassiope tetragona", "Luzula confusa", "Luzula nivalis", "Salix arctica", "Poa arctica", "Eriophorum angustifolium", "Petasites frigidus", "Vaccinium uliginosum", "Dryas integrifolia", "Stellaria longipes", "Saxifraga cernua", "Festuca brachyphylla"))]
......@@ -171,12 +189,29 @@ selection = selection[-which(selection %in% c("Arctagrostis latifolia", "Persica
N.B. I have quickly selected 14 species among the 30 having the most observations, with no problem with zero-days growing season in the previous years before an observation, and no problem in the dataset... **selection procedure to discuss**
Prepare species specific datasets
---------------------------------
Step 1: `create_dataset`: <br>- only subsites where the species have been seen (then ok for N=1) <br>- extract plot info <br>- build transition table <br>- merge with plot info <br>- calculate interval (years) <br>- tag transition types <br>- combine with climate (5 years earlier average) <br>- merge all <br>Step 2: adjustments <br>- Add anomalies <br>- remove intervals&gt;=10 years <br>- select variables c("snowDays", "GSL", "GST", "SoilMoist", "TotalCover") <br>- modify SoilMoist levels (-1, 0, 1) <br>Step 3: prepare dataset to fit <br>- separate colonisation and extinction datasets <br>- scale data (not SoilMoist) <br>- prepare data for LaplacesDemon fit (optional) <br>- add event column for glm fit
``` r
## Prepare species specific datasets
Step 1: `create_dataset`:
<br>- only subsites where the species have been seen (then ok for N=1)
<br>- extract plot info
<br>- build transition table
<br>- merge with plot info
<br>- calculate interval (years)
<br>- tag transition types
<br>- combine with climate (5 years earlier average)
<br>- merge all
<br>Step 2: adjustments
<br>- Add anomalies
<br>- remove intervals>=10 years
<br>- select variables c("snowDays", "GSL", "GST", "SoilMoist", "TotalCover")
<br>- modify SoilMoist levels (-1, 0, 1)
<br>Step 3: prepare dataset to fit
<br>- separate colonisation and extinction datasets
<br>- scale data (not SoilMoist)
<br>- prepare data for LaplacesDemon fit (optional)
<br>- add event column for glm fit
```r
spDATA.list = lapply(selection, function(SPECIES){
print(SPECIES)
spDATA = dat.species(SPECIES, DATA)
......@@ -186,101 +221,99 @@ names(spDATA.list) = selection
spDATA.check = lapply(spDATA.list, check.nas)
```
Visualisation of transition tables
----------------------------------
## Visualisation of transition tables
``` r
```r
lapply(spDATA.list, function(x) table(x$spdat$trType))
```
## $`Vaccinium vitis-idaea`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 168 18 13 647
##
## $`Carex bigelowii`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 194 53 38 490
##
## $`Ledum palustre`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 147 22 17 513
##
## $`Betula nana`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 191 19 5 510
##
## $`Eriophorum vaginatum`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 199 34 27 419
##
## $`Salix pulchra`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 287 50 31 376
##
## $`Eriophorum chamissonis`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 81 40 46 251
##
## $`Persicaria bistorta`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 296 77 60 183
##
## $`Dupontia fisheri`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 214 29 38 218
##
## $`Rubus chamaemorus`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 315 34 22 191
##
## $`Salix reticulata`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 491 14 24 161
##
## $`Geum rossii`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 16 4 8 153
##
## $`Empetrum nigrum`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 448 18 23 133
##
## $`Bistorta bistortoides`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 43 20 22 96
##
## $`Hierochloe alpina`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 603 39 36 61
```
## $`Vaccinium vitis-idaea`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 168 18 13 647
##
## $`Carex bigelowii`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 194 53 38 490
##
## $`Ledum palustre`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 147 22 17 513
##
## $`Betula nana`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 191 19 5 510
##
## $`Eriophorum vaginatum`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 199 34 27 419
##
## $`Salix pulchra`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 287 50 31 376
##
## $`Eriophorum chamissonis`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 81 40 46 251
##
## $`Persicaria bistorta`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 296 77 60 183
##
## $`Dupontia fisheri`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 214 29 38 218
##
## $`Rubus chamaemorus`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 315 34 22 191
##
## $`Salix reticulata`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 491 14 24 161
##
## $`Geum rossii`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 16 4 8 153
##
## $`Empetrum nigrum`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 448 18 23 133
##
## $`Bistorta bistortoides`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 43 20 22 96
##
## $`Hierochloe alpina`
##
## AA COLO EXT PP
## 603 39 36 61
```
Here we can see how many transitions we have for each species.
Fit models
----------
## Fit models
``` r
```r
spDATA.fit = lapply(spDATA.list, fit.species)
```
Summary of model evaluation
---------------------------
## Summary of model evaluation
``` r
```r
eval.models = lapply(spDATA.fit, function(glm.fit){
eval.colo = eval.fit(glm.fit$colo, glm.fit$dat$colo, "colo.event")[-1]
coeffs.colo = sort(abs(glm.fit$colo$coefficients[-1]), dec=T)
......@@ -293,482 +326,140 @@ eval.models = lapply(spDATA.fit, function(glm.fit){
res.tab.eval = as.data.frame(do.call(rbind, lapply(eval.models, function(x)unlist(x[1:4]))))
res.tab.vars = as.data.frame(do.call(rbind, lapply(eval.models, function(x)unlist(x[5:6]))))